CLDAS和IMLDAS土壤湿度数据在内蒙古地区的适用性评价

Applicability Evaluation of CLDAS and IMLDAS Soil Moisture Data in Inner Mongolia

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估中国气象局陆面同化系统(CLDAS)和内蒙古陆面同化系统(IMLDAS)数据在观测稀疏地区的适用性,为我国干旱半干旱地区选择高时空分辨率的土壤水分数据提供依据。
    方法 本研究利用2008 ~ 2021年5 ~ 9月111个内蒙古土壤水分观测站的0 ~ 20 cm土壤相对湿度观测资料,对CLDAS与IMLDAS两套产品开展多维度验证,通过一致性检验、相关系数、均方根误差、泰勒检验及分区(农区、牧区、林区)年变化和月变化对比,系统评估其区域精度差异。
    结果 在内蒙古地区IMLDAS数据整体优于CLDAS,111站独立检验显示,IMLDAS日均一致性指数 ≥ 0.5的站点比例达85%(CLDAS为76%),RMSE < 30%的站点占97%(CLDAS仅68%),泰勒图显示IMLDAS的标准差与中心均方根误差均较CLDAS缩小。分区特征上,IMLDAS在林区和农区表现较佳:农区月平均误差仅约1%,而CLDAS系统偏高11% ~ 15%;林区年平均CLDAS偏高10% ~ 39%,IMLDAS则与观测振幅相位一致;牧区两套产品均高估,但IMLDAS月平均值和年平均值的平均偏差分别仅为CLDAS的31.1%和30.1%。两套产品均保持与观测值中等以上相关(> 95%站点通过0.01显著性水平),表明国产系统已具备业务化能力,差异主要体现在系统偏差而非相关系数。
    结论 IMLDAS在内蒙古土壤湿度模拟中具有明显优势,提升本地化参数是进一步提高精度的关键,可为观测站点稀疏区域干旱监测和陆气耦合系统初始值优选提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The aim was to evaluate the applicability of the land assimilation system of China (CLDAS) and the land assimilation system of Inner Mongolia (IMLDAS) in areas with sparse observations, in order to provide a basis for selecting high temporal and spatial resolution soil moisture data for the arid and semi-arid regions of China.
    Method This study employed in observations from 111 meteorological stations across Inner Mongolia, measuring 0 - 20 cm soil relative humidity during the 2008 - 2021 (May-September), to validate and compare the CLDAS and IMLDAS. Systematic evaluation of regional accuracy patterns was conducted through multiple statistical metrics, including the index of agreement (IA), correlation coefficients(R), root mean square error (RMSE), Taylor diagram diagnostics, and comparative analyses of temporal variations across three distinct land-cover types: agricultural, pastoral and forest zones.
    Result Results demonstrated that IMLDAS achieved substantially higher accuracy than CLDAS in Inner Mongolia. Independent station-based validation revealed that 85% of sites attained daily IA values ≥ 0.5 for IMLDAS, compared to 76% for CLDAS. Furthermore, 97% of stations registered RMSE values were below 30% for IMLDAS, only 68% for CLDAS. The Taylor diagram showed that both the standard deviation and centered root mean square error of IMLDAS were lower than those of CLDAS. Regional assessments highlighted that IMLDAS performance were better in agricultural and forest ecosystems. Specifically, monthly mean deviations in agricultural areas were merely 1% for IMLDAS, whereas CLDAS exhibited systematic positive biases ranging from 11% to 15%. On annual timescales, CLDAS overestimated forest soil moisture by 10% - 39%, while IMLDAS demonstrated remarkable synchronization with observations in both amplitude and phase characteristics. Both products showed overestimation tendencies in pastoral regions. However, IMLDAS monthly and annual mean biases were substantially reduced, representing only 31.1% and 30.1% of the corresponding CLDAS biases, respectively. Notably, both assimilation systems maintained moderate-to-strong correlations with ground observations at over 95% of stations (significant at P < 0.01), indicating that contemporary domestic land surface assimilation systems had achieved operational maturity. The inter-product discrepancies identified stem primarily from systematic biases rather than differences in correlation structure.
    Conclusion These findings established that IMLDAS possessed distinct advantages for soil moisture simulation in observation-sparse regions of northern China. The results underscored that refining localization parameters represented the critical pathway for further accuracy enhancements in regional land data assimilation systems. This study provided a scientific guidance for operational drought monitoring in data-scarce environments and offered methodological insights for optimizing initial conditions in land-atmosphere coupling systems.

     

/

返回文章
返回