四川粮食主产区耕地韧性时空特征及障碍因素研究—以南充市为例

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Obstacle Factors of Cultivated Land Resilience in the Major Grain-Producing Areas of Sichuan Province: A Case Study of Nanchong

  • 摘要:
    目的 探究四川粮食主产区耕地韧性特征及障碍因素,为保障地区耕地系统可持续利用和粮食安全提供依据。
    方法 以南充市为研究区,基于PSR模型理论阐释构建耕地韧性评价指标体系,采用熵权法、自然间断点分级法和空间自相关模型等分析2004 ~ 2023年南充市耕地韧性时空特征,运用障碍度模型把握其障碍因素。
    结果 ①耕地韧性是耕地系统在内外部要素环境影响下保持结构与功能稳定的重要特性,与PSR模型“压力-状态-响应”的核心逻辑相契合。②时序上,2004 ~ 2023年南充市耕地韧性总体波动上升,其“压力-状态-响应”维度历经压力主导、状态修复与响应滞后、协同提升与动态平衡三个演变阶段。③空间上,南充市耕地韧性呈现由“西高东低”向“北高南中”演变的空间分异特征,并以西南-东北为轴线呈现“西南部高-高集聚、中部不显著过渡、东北部低-低集聚”的空间集聚特征。④障碍度显示,南充市耕地韧性准则层中压力维度是最大阻碍,指标层中单位面积化肥施用量、单位面积农药使用量、年均气温、年降水量、人均耕地面积、人均粮食保障率、单位面积农机总动力、耕地保有量占比是重要制约因素。
    结论 为进一步提升南充市耕地韧性,提出强化耕地资源保护刚性约束、构建耕地韧性分区治理体系、建立多元主体协同治理机制的对策建议。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The aim was to provide a basis for ensuring the sustainable use of the regional cultivated land system and food security, by exploring the characteristics and obstacle factors of cultivated land resilience in major grain-producing areas of Sichuan Province.
    Methods Taking Nanchong City as the study area, an evaluation index system for cultivated land resilience was constructed based on the theoretical interpretation of the PSR model. Meanwhile, entropy weight method, natural breaking classification method and spatial autocorrelation model were adopted to analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of cultivated land resilience in Nanchong from 2004 to 2023, and the obstacle degree model was used to grasp its obstacle factors.
    Result ① The cultivated land resilience was an important characteristic for maintaining the structural and functional stability of cultivated land system under the influence of internal and external environmental factors, which was in line with the core logic of the PSR model of "pressure-state-response". ② In terms of time sequence, the cultivated land resilience in Nanchong had generally fluctuated upward from 2004 to 2023, and its pressure-state-response dimension had gone through three evolution stages: pressure dominance, state restoration and response lag, and coordinated improvement and dynamic balance. ③ Spatially, the cultivated land resilience in Nanchong showed a spatial differentiation characteristic evolving from "high in the west and low in the east" to "high in the north and middle in the south", and presented a spatial agglomeration feature of "high-high concentration in the southwest, no significant transition in the middle, and low-low concentration in the northeast" along the southwest - northeast axis. ④ The obstacle degree showed that in the resilience criterion layer of cultivated land in Nanchong, the pressure dimension was the greatest obstacle. In the indicator layer, the amount of chemical fertilizer applied per unit area, the amount of pesticide used per unit area, the average annual temperature, the annual precipitation, the per capita cultivated land area, the per capita food security rate, the total power of agricultural machinery per unit area, and the proportion of cultivated land retention were the important restrictive factors.
    Conclusion The countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to further enhance the cultivated land resilience in Nanchong, such as strengthening the rigid constraints of cultivated land resource protection, building a regional governance system for cultivated land resilience, and establishing a collaborative governance mechanism involving multiple subjects.

     

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