西北干旱区耕地利用转型时空演变及动因分析

Spatio-temporal Evolution Characteristics and Driving Forces of Cultivated Land Use Transition in the Arid Region of Northwest China

  • 摘要:
    目的 明晰西北干旱区耕地利用转型的时空演化规律和驱动因素,为优化区域耕地利用转型效益提供决策参考。
    方法 基于2000年、2010年和2020年遥感影像解译的土地利用数据,运用耕地利用动态度、地理探测器等模型分析西北干旱区耕地利用转型时空特征及驱动因素。
    结果 西北干旱区耕地利用转型处于不断扩张与缩减交互的过程,但以扩张为主;耕地利用的活跃程度不断加强,其中河西走廊地区耕地扩张速度逐渐趋缓,阿拉善、北疆和南疆地区耕地扩张速度呈增加态势;从耕地利用转型的倾向性来看,未利用地向耕地转换的倾向性指数最高,是耕地扩张的主要来源;耕地向建设用地转换的倾向性指数最高,是耕地流失的主要方向;农业产值、机械化水平、灌溉面积等因素是促进西北干旱区耕地利用转型扩张的主要影响因子。
    结论 在未来区域耕地利用中应坚持生态优先的策略,充分做到“以水定地,以水定产”,遏制耕地大规模无序扩张,协调社会经济发展与生态环境之间的关系。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The aim was to clarify the spatio-temporal evolution law and driving factors of the transformation of cultivated land use in the Northwest Arid Region, and to provide decision-making references for optimizing the benefits of the regional transformation of cultivated land use.
    Method This study analyzed the spatial and temporal characteristics and driving factors of the cultivated land use transition in the Northwest Arid Zone based on the land use data interpreted by remote sensing images from 2000 to 2020, using models such as the cultivated land use dynamic index and the Geodetector model.
    Result The primary trend in the cultivated land use transition in the northwest desert region was the expansion of cultivated land, but this was also accompanied by a decrease in cultivated land, and the degree of active cultivated land use was continually increasing. While the rate of expansion of cultivated land in Alashan, northern and southern Xinjiang exhibited an upward tendency, the rate of expansion of cultivated land in Hexi Corridor steadily slowed down. In terms of cultivated land use conversion, the highest tendency degree was that of converting unused land to cultivated land, which serves as the primary source of cultivated land reclamation. While the tendency index for cultivated land conversion to construction land was the highest, representing the predominant pathway of cultivated land loss. Agricultural output value, mechanization level, irrigation facilities and other factors were the main influencing factors to promote the expansion of cultivated land use transition in the Northwest Arid region.
    Conclusion Future land use in the region should follow the ecological priority strategy, fully realize the principle of "land determination with water, production determination with water", prevent the large-scale, chaotic expansion of cultivated land, and coordinate the relationship between social and economic development and the ecological environment.

     

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